Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisiana Tech
Western Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#185
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#169
Pace71.6#75
Improvement+6.6#5

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#185
Improvement+6.9#4

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#195
Improvement-0.3#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 19, 2011 108   @ Texas Arlington L 61-68 20%     0 - 1 +0.5 -18.7 +20.5
  Nov 25, 2011 327   Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-54 86%     1 - 1 +6.2 -5.8 +10.9
  Nov 26, 2011 207   Portland St. L 48-66 54%     1 - 2 -20.4 -33.1 +13.6
  Nov 27, 2011 75   @ Wyoming L 58-73 15%     1 - 3 -4.9 +1.9 -9.1
  Nov 30, 2011 297   @ SE Louisiana L 69-72 OT 65%     1 - 4 -8.2 -5.4 -2.5
  Dec 03, 2011 309   @ Louisiana Monroe W 73-71 71%     2 - 4 -5.1 -4.8 -0.3
  Dec 06, 2011 226   Northwestern St. W 94-93 2OT 70%     3 - 4 -5.8 +1.8 -7.8
  Dec 10, 2011 69   @ Southern Miss L 62-78 14%     3 - 5 -5.6 -3.8 -2.8
  Dec 14, 2011 209   McNeese St. W 60-58 67%     4 - 5 -3.8 -13.9 +10.1
  Dec 17, 2011 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 71-68 62%     5 - 5 -1.5 -1.0 -0.4
  Dec 20, 2011 200   Northeastern W 56-53 65%     6 - 5 -2.3 -19.3 +17.0
  Dec 22, 2011 118   @ Arkansas L 63-77 22%     6 - 6 -7.2 -8.6 +1.6
  Dec 31, 2011 181   @ SMU L 65-73 36%     6 - 7 -5.5 +2.6 -8.9
  Jan 07, 2012 50   New Mexico St. L 73-83 27%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -4.9 -9.5 +6.2
  Jan 12, 2012 150   Idaho L 88-90 OT 53%     6 - 9 0 - 2 -4.1 +2.0 -5.9
  Jan 14, 2012 133   Utah St. L 65-69 49%     6 - 10 0 - 3 -5.0 -11.0 +6.0
  Jan 19, 2012 210   @ Hawaii W 74-70 41%     7 - 10 1 - 3 +5.0 -2.7 +7.5
  Jan 21, 2012 263   @ San Jose St. W 71-67 55%     8 - 10 2 - 3 +1.4 -4.3 +5.7
  Jan 26, 2012 177   Fresno St. W 59-58 61%     9 - 10 3 - 3 -3.1 -1.2 -1.6
  Jan 28, 2012 100   Nevada L 63-65 40%     9 - 11 3 - 4 -0.6 -8.5 +7.9
  Feb 04, 2012 50   @ New Mexico St. L 72-83 11%     9 - 12 3 - 5 +0.9 +5.7 -5.0
  Feb 09, 2012 133   @ Utah St. L 63-77 25%     9 - 13 3 - 6 -8.2 -5.4 -3.7
  Feb 11, 2012 150   @ Idaho L 64-73 28%     9 - 14 3 - 7 -4.3 -2.8 -2.2
  Feb 16, 2012 272   North Dakota W 58-53 79%     10 - 14 -4.8 -7.3 +3.5
  Feb 18, 2012 324   Central Arkansas W 84-62 91%     11 - 14 +6.1 -0.9 +5.8
  Feb 23, 2012 263   San Jose St. W 75-49 78%     12 - 14 4 - 7 +16.6 -2.3 +19.5
  Feb 25, 2012 210   Hawaii W 84-67 67%     13 - 14 5 - 7 +11.2 -4.2 +13.2
  Mar 01, 2012 177   @ Fresno St. W 75-70 35%     14 - 14 6 - 7 +7.7 +6.8 +1.1
  Mar 03, 2012 100   @ Nevada L 69-79 18%     14 - 15 6 - 8 -1.7 +1.6 -3.5
  Mar 08, 2012 133   Utah St. W 72-70 36%     15 - 15 +4.4 +8.3 -3.7
  Mar 09, 2012 100   Nevada W 78-73 28%     16 - 15 +9.8 +9.9 +0.1
  Mar 10, 2012 50   New Mexico St. L 57-82 18%     16 - 16 -16.5 -11.0 -5.9
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 6.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 100.0% 100.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%